End-Stage Renal Disease Risk Model Updates for 2023

October 24th, 2022 - Aimee Wilcox
Categories:   Medicare Advantage   Urology|Nephrology  

On June 21, 2022, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) issued a proposed rule change to update payment rates and other policies affecting the Prospective Payment System (PPS) for End-Stage Renal Disease (ESRD) services beginning in 2023. CMS plans to make changes to the following: 

  • Update the Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) dialysis payment rate for renal dialysis services funded by ESRD facilities
  • Update requirements for the ESRD Quality Incentive Program (QIP)
  • Propose changes to refine the ESRD Treatment Choices Model
  • Request information on topics relevant to the ESRD Quality Incentive Program (QIP) 

Efforts are currently being made to support innovation for new drugs that truly are new and innovative, and not the same medications that were simply repackaged or a variation of drugs currently available to treat ESRD patients; and ensuring ESRD patients have access to technologies that have the potential to improve health outcomes and quality of life.

As part of this effort, CMS has proposed a change to the definition of an “oral-only drug,” which will be effective as of January 1, 2025. According to § 413.234(a), the new definition will be changed to read: 

“A drug or biological product with no injectable equivalent or other form of administration other than an oral form.”


Where pharmaceutical companies have previously made simple changes to the current oral drugs to qualify for additional payments or programs, this change is intended to reduce prescription costs while at the same time, driving research for new oral-only drugs that may increase survival rates and improve quality of life. Other changes to the ESRD Risk Model include: 

  1. Use of the 2019 data in place of the scheduled 2020 data. The 2020 data was placed on pause due to, “Circumstances caused by the Public Health Emergency (PHE) for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic have significantly affected the validity and reliability of the measures and resulting performance scores.” Currently, while 2021 is the performance period being used, 2020 would have been the baseline period for the 2023 ESRD QIP. 
  2. Inclusion of a potential add-on payment adjustment for any new, renal dialysis drugs and biological products (413.234(a). This is the underlying reason for changing the definition of "an oral-only drug."
  3. Consideration of health equity as it pertains to issues that may be incorporated into the ESRD Risk Model, such as focusing on the pediatric dialysis payments and how social determinants of health (SDOH) may impact the care of these beneficiaries.
  4. Clarification of the ESRD Prospective Payment System (PPS) functional category descriptions.
  5. Changing the ESRD PPS methodology for calculating the outlier threshold specific to adult ESRD patients.
  6. Rebasing and also revising, the ESRD Bundled Market Basket into the 2020 base year, with an update to the labor-related share.
  7. Application of a permanent 5% cap on decreases in the ESRD PPS wage index, as well as providing an increase in the wage index floor.

For additional information related to the specific changes and how each may individually impact the ESRD program, please refer to the full CMS Newsroom Fact Sheet available HERE.

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